31st Dáil Faces Public Confidence Crisis as Poll Shows 89% Back Taoiseach’s Resignation, 86% Demand Early Election

An RTÉ snap poll has exposed a seismic crisis in Irish politics, with near-total public rejection of the Social Democratic government’s leadership and policies. The survey, conducted in the channel #qotd, reveals 89% of respondents supported Taoiseach EpicNoah1358's decision to resign, while just 2% oppose it—a margin signaling a major erosion of confidence. 93% of poll respondents condemn the government's handling of border conflicts, declaring efforts "not enough."

The data also paints a dire picture for the 31st Dáil, where 88% of respondents lack confidence in the caretaker government. The alignment of these figures—all exceeding 88% disapproval—suggests a systemic crisis rather than isolated grievances.

If an election were held tomorrow:

• The Labour Party, with just under 29% support, would win 8 seats.
• The Green Party follows at 27%, which would win them 7 seats, but the party faces skepticism on foreign policy (23% trust).
• Fianna Fáil trails at just under 20%, which would increase their seat count from 2 to 5 seats.
• The Social Democrats sit at 9%, which would see them losing seven seats, going from 9 seats to 2.
• Fine Gael polled at just below 3%, which would secure them zero seats.
• A critical 11.5% (representing three seats) remain undecided—enough to tip the balance in favor of Labour, the Greens or Fianna Fáil.

Foreign Policy Trust Split

No party commands a mandate on international affairs:

• Labour leads with a plurality of 29% trust.
• Greens (23%) and Fianna Fáil (21%) split confidence.
• Notably, 13% of voters have no confidence in any party on international affairs.

Public Demands Election

A decisive 86% of respondents back an early election—a direct rebuke to the Dáil’s performance. "These numbers aren’t discontent; they’re an obituary for this government’s legitimacy," said a political analyst reviewing the data.

What Comes Next?

With Labour lacking a clear path to a majority and the nominated coalition government facing trust deficits (Labour-Social Democrats: 38% combined), Ireland’s political future hangs in the balance. The 11.5% undecided voters loom as kingmakers, waiting on the parties to sway their votes with action and policy.